A insustentável “espargata” da Alemanha

A Alemanha anda, já faz tempo, a flirtar com a recessão, numa infindável dança “tem-te, não caias”. Parafraseando o velho Marx, “um fantasma ameaça a Alemanha, o fantasma da recessão”.

Mas, como era antecipável, ainda há mais. Muito mais.

“There are political problems, too. Beijing has threatened Germany with retaliatory measures if Berlin bans China’s Huawei from participating in the buildout of the German 5G communication network, while Washington is implementing sanctions against the Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline between Russia and Germany. The United States also in October imposed tariffs of 10 percent on large civilian aircraft and 25 percent on some agricultural goods from Europe. Washington is also still holding out the threat of higher tariffs on European cars, which would disproportionately hurt Germany. Finally, it is far from clear what the future holds for the EU-U.K. trade relationship after Brexit.”

É neste cenário que Merkel foi agora passar o último fim de semana, a Moscovo, com Putin.

A Geopolitical Futures analisa a situação e coloca-a em perspectiva.

• The Limits of Germany’s Economic Outreach to Russia

Exclusivo Tornado / IntelNomics